Beyond The Hype : Understanding Japan’s Real Seismic Risks
As of today, July 5th, 2025, Japan is gripped by widespread anxiety over a 1990 manga titled “The Future I Saw” by Royo Tatsuko, dubbed “new Baba Vanga.” The manga predicted a massive earthquake for today, which has led to significant disruptions and economic losses.
The Prophecy and Its Impact
The central fear revolves around the manga’s prediction of a devastating earthquake and a tsunami three times larger than the 2011 Tohoku tsunami, originating from an underwater break. This prediction has been amplified by the recent occurrence of over 1,000 earthquakes in the Tokara region, the exact location mentioned in the manga. This alarming coincidence prompted officials to evacuate people from the island, further fueling the public’s concerns.
The widespread panic has severely impacted Japan’s tourism industry, leading to an estimated $4 billion loss as many tourists, particularly from Hong Kong, canceled their trips. This has caused some businesses to reduce their operations in Japan by half, with tourists opting for destinations in China and Southeast Asia instead.
Science Versus Belief
Despite the Japan Meteorological Agency’s strong statements debunking the prophecy as false and urging people not to believe rumors, many remain convinced due to the manga’s perceived accuracy in predicting past events, such as the 2011 Tohoku tsunami. This has created a conflict between scientific reassurances and popular belief. Scientists emphasize that predicting earthquakes is impossible and warn against the dangers of false information, which can cause panic and misdirect resources.
A Nation on Edge
The fear extends beyond tourism, manifesting as a general state of preparedness. People are checking emergency kits, and discussions about disaster plans are taking place in schools and workplaces. This situation highlights the immense power of media, as the manga’s popularity spread rapidly online, demonstrating how rumors can have real-world consequences.
As July 5th unfolds, Japan waits to see whether the prophecy will come true or if mass panic is simply gripping a nation accustomed to frequent seismic activity.
